When Does Jones Have to Run Again to Keep the Senate Seat?
Updated | Jan 22: As of now, all of the following races have been decided later the Georgia Senate runoff elections — one betwixt Republican David Purdue and Democrat Jon Ossoff, and another betwixt Republican Kelly Loeffler and Democrat Raphael Warnock — took place on January v. Both candidates' races were chosen on January 6, and they were sworn in equally Senators on January 20, the same appointment equally the presidential inauguration. These victories created an even 50-50 dissever in the Senate but ultimately gave Democrats control, with Vice President Harris — who administered the oath of part to Warnock and Ossoff — serving as the necktie-breaking vote.
The battle for control of the The states Senate has been fierce, to say the least. Co-ordinate to Whit Ayres, a Republican pollster interviewed past Voice, "There are numerous Senate races that are essentially margin of error races right now." Of course, how Americans feel about these hotly contested Senate seats — and how they ultimately bandage their votes — is informed by several central events, including the continuing police brutality and murder of Black Americans as well as country and federal responses (or lack thereof) to the ongoing COVID-19 crisis, which has claimed over 211,000 American lives thus far.
Moreover, the Senate bulk could plow from red to bluish if Democrats manage to flip a few seats — simply on the other hand, Republicans have a existent shot at taking back seats in historically cerise states similar Alabama. Oh, and there's the matter of the Supreme Court (lifetime) appointment on the line. All of this to say, this ballot matters — a lot. Americans need to get to the polls, or the mailbox, feeling sure of their candidates. With this in mind, we're taking a wait at the closest Senate races and comparison the candidates who have a shot at flipping those highly sought-after seats.
Georgia Senate Race: David Perdue (R) & Jon Ossoff (D)
The Cook Political Study says this race is leaning Republican, but that doesn't hateful it won't be a tough race, peculiarly given the political shift that'southward formed in Georgia over the last few years. See: Stacey Abrams' 2018 gubernatorial run, which saw the state turning a shade of purple, despite Abrams' loss. When it comes to the heated Senate race, Georgians will be choosing between incumbent Senator David Perdue, a former businessperson who was elected in 2014, and former congressional candidate Jon Ossoff.
With more and more Georgians voting in a way that runs opposite to the land's crimson leanings, Perdue has recently scrambled to rebrand as a bipartisan problem-solver. However, the facts prove otherwise: Perdue has voted with the president 95% of the time. For his office, Ossoff is driving home the mishandling of the COVID-19 pandemic equally a reason for irresolute up the state's elected officials. At the end of the day, like so many other Senate races, voters' decisions may, in fact, be more closely tied to their view of the presidential election than ever before.
Winner: Democrat Jon Ossoff
Fun fact: When it comes to the presidential race, Maine and Nebraska are the just states that tin split their electoral votes. This is indicative of just how contentious the Senate race is equally well. In a recent poll released by Maine's Colby Higher, speaker of the Maine House and Democratic hopeful Sara Gideon leads Republican incumbent Susan Collins past just 4%.
Although Collins was once seen equally one of the GOP'southward near moderate voices, she has fabricated some contempo choices that have made her "the nearly unpopular senator in the land," co-ordinate to Morn Consult. Ane of those decisions? She was instrumental in securing Brett Kavanaugh'south seat on the Supreme Courtroom. Still, Collins has a real staying power that shouldn't be underestimated. For her part, Gideon has worked with both Republican and Democratic governors in the past and has made affordable healthcare and tackling Maine'due south opioid crisis priorities in her platform.
Winner: Republican Susan Collins
Northward Carolina Senate Race: Thom Tillis (R) & Cal Cunningham (D)
In the Tar Heel State, things are, perhaps surprisingly, quite contentious. The incumbent is Thom Tillis, who was elected to the Senate 6 years agone. Facing off against Tillis is Cal Cunningham, who, despite non having the aforementioned federal-level feel, served in the North Carolina State Senate. As of now, this one's been denoted a toss-upwardly.
When information technology comes to the presidential election, North Carolina has emerged equally a existent swing state, a sentiment that'south reflected in the tight Senate race as well. Right now amid the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, many N Carolinians, similar many Americans, are grappling with unemployment and healthcare concerns. Recently, Tillis has opposed Medicaid expansion and been open almost wanting to reduce unemployment benefits. Cunningham, an Iraq war vet, volition likely drive dwelling house these points — and attack Tillis' close relationship with Trump, something that, at this indicate, could truly sway voters. Back in 2014, Tillis won the race past a unmarried percentage point, and so annihilation can happen.
Winner: Republican Thom Tillis
Iowa Senate Race: Joni Ernst (R) & Theresa Greenfield (D)
Veteran and quondam land senator Jodi Ernst volition go head-to-caput with community planner-turned-politician Theresa Greenfield in Iowa. Six years ago, incumbent Ernst won her seat by nine points, only, in the wake of the COVID-xix pandemic, any sort of upper hand she had seems to be diminishing. Why? Ernst claims to be "so skeptical" of the reported COVID-19 death toll in the U.s.a.; meanwhile, equally Labor Twenty-four hours weekend neared, Iowa became the state with the third-highest rate of new cases in the country.
Apart from Ernst's COVID-nineteen thoughts potentially swaying her longtime advocates, Greenfield is as well driving domicile a relatable narrative. That is, both candidates came from similar humble ancestry — they grew up on Midwestern farms — only when Greenfield was 24 her hubby was killed in a work accident, leaving her and their children to survive off of union benefits and social security. All of this to say, Greenfield is hammering dwelling the need for a safety net for all Iowans (and especially during the pandemic), while Ernst hasn't quite walked that walk while in Washington for the past six years.
Winner: Republican Joni Ernst
Colorado Senate Race: Cory Gardner (R) & John Hickenlooper (D)
Currently, Colorado is leaning toward Democratic challenger John Hickenlooper, that state'south former governor, but the race could still become either way. Why the shut race? Although incumbent Cory Gardner, who was elected in 2014, oftentimes sides with the Trump administration on hot-push problems, he does stray when it comes to topics similar marijuana decriminalization — something that, given marijuana'south legalization in Colorado, is near-and-dear to the Rocky Mountain Land's constituents.
Yet, Gardner's fidelity to the president will likely impact his ain race since a majority of Coloradans disapprove of Trump'southward deportment. In the wake of the 2014 races Colorado has shifted gears, becoming a reliably blue state, which has led ballot forecasters to posit that this senate race will be the almost likely pickup for Democrats looking to flip some seats.
Winner: Democrat John Hickenlooper
Montana Senate Race: Steve Daines (R) & Steve Bullock (D)
Much like Colorado'due south former Governor John Hickenlooper, current Montana Governor Steve Bullock announced a presidential run, leading many of his constituents to wonder why he didn't just endeavor for a Senate seat. In 2020, things are looking a bit unlike with the sitting governor heeding the communication of both his voting base and the Democratic party past taking on Republican incumbent Steve Daines, who has held his seat since 2014.
Bullock's gubernatorial win in a securely red state certainly fabricated waves, but, more recently, he'south been making waves for a completely different reason: Montana's response to the novel coronavirus health crunch. Unlike about every other tight race, which is dogged by poor COVID-19 responses, Bullock is seeing the highest approval ratings of his career for how well he managed the country's response. Meanwhile, Daines has been a fierce supporter of President Trump on almost accounts, noting that the president has "led boldly" in the face of the pandemic — a view that isn't shared by the bulk of Americans.
Winner: Republican Steve Daines
Alabama Senate Race: Doug Jones (D) & Tommy Tuberville (R)
In 2017, Doug Jones eked out a surprise victory in a special ballot against Republican Roy Moore in the historically red state of Alabama. His challenger in 2020's race? Ex-football game coach Tommy Tuberville. In many ways, the outcome of this Senate race will prove as a more than authentic litmus examination to determine if Democrats are truly gaining momentum in the South or if Jones' victory was an anomaly.
Tuberville's platform is congenital around being staunchly pro-life and pro-Second Subpoena; he also wants to further dismantle the Affordable Intendance Act and reform the state'southward education system. Jones, on the other mitt, touts wanting "One Alabama, for everyone," and cites his bipartisanship and investment in education, healthcare and "rural issues" equally evidence of putting this slogan into activity. According to Phonation, "the president's cyberspace approval rating has been higher [in Alabama] than any other country." For Republicans, this race could be a key pickup.
Winner: Republican Tommy Tuberville
Arizona Senate Race: Martha McSally (R) & Marking Kelly (D)
In 2018, Senator Martha McSally lost to Democrat Kyrsten Sinema, but, subsequently that year, she was appointed to fill the late Senator John McCain's vacant seat. Now, in a special election, McSally volition have to testify that she can win a race outright — and the competition has been fierce. Her challenger is Mark Kelly, former U.S. astronaut and married man of quondam U.S. Representative Gabrielle Giffords, who, after surviving an assassination effort, became an outspoken gun control activist.
Without a doubt, Arizona's Senate race is one of the tightest — largely because the presidential race is within the margin of error. All of this to say, if there'due south a land that personifies "undecided voters," information technology might just be Arizona. So far, Kelly has raised an impressive amount of coin, giving him the cash advantage, while McSally told supporters to "fast a meal and give what that would exist" — an alleged joke, simply however an indication of simply how heated things are in the Grand Canyon State. Additionally, McSally has doubled downward on her support of Amy Coney Barrett, which could either dissuade unsure, liberal-leaning voters or piece of work to intensify support amid conservative voters.
Winner: Democrat Mark Kelly
South Carolina Senate Race: Lindsey Graham (R) & Jaime Harrison (D)
Incumbent Lindsey Graham handily won his reelection bids in both 2008 and 2014, outpacing the competition by an impressive 15%. While another win in 2020 seemed on-track, Graham didn't anticipate a challenger similar Jaime Harrison, who has built the largest Senate campaign Due south Carolina has seen in quite some time. Needless to say, there'south no resting on one'due south laurels this ballot bike.
Over the weekend of October x, Harrison set a record by raising $57 meg from supporters. To put this achievement in perspective, The New York Times has noted that this amount marks the "highest quarterly fundraising total for any Senate candidate in U.S. history." While coin isn't everything in a campaign, information technology certainly denotes voters' passion and support and adds to the candidates' momentum. Meanwhile, Graham has come up out equally a staunch supporter of Amy Coney Barrett's nomination to the Supreme Court, something he likely hopes will reaffirm the support of his voting base.
Winner: Republican Lindsey Graham
Michigan Senate Race: Gary Peters (D) & John James (R)
Finally, Michigan's Autonomous incumbent Gary Peters, who was elected to the Senate in 2014 and served in the Firm earlier that, will face up off against Republican businessman and vet-turned-politician John James. Similar Alabama, Michigan went crimson for Trump during the 2016 presidential ballot — moreover, both states, with their Dem Senate incumbents, face the highest likelihood of turning red. And then, will Michigan'southward seat flip?
It's hard to say equally of late. Sure, Trump won Michigan 4 years ago, but it was by the smallest margin of any state. This fact makes the Great Lakes State i to watch — and information technology means Senate candidates volition have to kick campaigns into high gear over the few remaining weeks. On the trail, Peters is touting his declared productive bipartisanship, while, co-ordinate to mLive, James is focusing on describing himself as the "personification of the American dream, retelling his family unit's generational triumph over slavery, sharecropping and segregation to eventually build a business in Detroit." The ane affair the candidates seem to agree on? The need for a solid, long-term COVID-19 relief plan is long overdue. Current polls take found Peters with a slight edge over James, just a big number of Michiganders remain undecided.
Winner: Democrat Gary Peters
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Source: https://www.ask.com/culture/election-2020-compare-senate-candidates?utm_content=params%3Ao%3D740004%26ad%3DdirN%26qo%3DserpIndex
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